Protocol Type
Exploration Strategy
Impact Metric
$60MM Investment Deployment
System Manifest
- Seismic Acquisition & Processing
- Exploration Drilling Campaign
- Field Appraisal & Delineation
- $60MM CAPEX Execution Plan
- Petroleum Economics (FID)
Deploy similar capability.
InitiateThe Challenge.
Our client, a major Oil Fund, considered acquiring one of Argentina's top 10 oil companies. The asset was technically sound, but the political horizon was volatile. The challenge was not just subsurface valuation, but a deep-spectrum risk assessment of the upcoming election cycle.
The Architecture.
We performed a rigorous valuation but added a 'Political Beta' coefficient. We forecasted the impact of a likely regime change on taxation and export tariffs. Our model flashed red. We advised a hard 'No-Go' despite the attractive entry price.
The Result.
We saved the fund millions. We predicted the victory of the Fernandez administration, which subsequently destabilized the national economy ('Cagaron el país'). The asset's value collapsed post-election. Sometimes the best deal is the one you don't do.